by Gregg Easterbrook
In The Progress Paradox, Gregg Easterbrook draws upon three decades of wide-ranging research and thinking to make the persuasive argument that almost all aspects of Western life have vastly improved in the past century – and yet today, most people feel less happy than in previous generations.
The typical American has twice the purchasing
power his mother or father had in 1960. A third of
Factor out immigration -- a huge benefit to the
immigrants -- and statistical evidence of widening income inequality
disappears. The statistic that household incomes are only moderately higher
than 25 years ago is misleading: Households today average fewer people, so real
dollar incomes in middle-class households are about 50 percent higher today. Poverty
is down. In 1960 22 percent of Americans lived in poverty; by 2001, the figure
had dropped to 11.7 percent. Although Easterbrook adds, the current situation,
in which one person in eight lives in privation in a country as wealthy as the
Unites States, should be seen as a national shame. He has equally harsh words
for what he sees as a number of truly unacceptable situations in our world
today, from the lack of universal health care, to business leaders who steal from
shareholders and employees, to the deplorable state of hopelessness many live
in around the world
But back to the good news. Since 1970 the number
of cars has increased 68 percent and the number of miles driven has increased
even more, yet smog has declined by a third and traffic fatalities have
declined from 52,627 to 42,815 last year. In 2003 we spent much wealth on
things unavailable in 1953 -- a cleaner environment, reduced mortality through
new medical marvels ($5.2 billion a year just for artificial knees, which did
not exist a generation ago), the ability to fly anywhere or talk to anyone
anywhere. The incidence of heart disease, stroke and cancer, when adjusted for
population growth, is declining.
The national crime rate increased slightly in 2001
following nine consecutive years of reduction, the longest-ever
America soon will be the first society in which a majority of
adults are college graduates.
So why do
people report a sense that things are getting steadily worse and that even fear
that catastrophe is imminent? Why do we not live in state of gratitude that we
(anyone living at middle class standards or above) now live better than 99.4
percent of the humans beings who have ever existed?
Easterbrook
presents a few rationales. One is the unsettled nature of progress. Progress
causes some problems to be truly solved, like polio thanks to vaccines. But
often as not, problems exist in a chain of cause and effect. One problem is solved, and a new one crops up.
We can now travel anywhere in the world but we’re dealing with the resulting
problems of energy consumption and its environmental impact.
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